Villa Dálmine vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 0
DAL
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DAL
0 - 0
IRV
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
DAL
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
DAL
0 - 0
CHA
36%
27%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
RSA
4 - 1
DAL
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 0
FER
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CCS
0 - 0
PAT
23%
29%
48%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
GIM
72%
20%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 0
PAT
27%
31%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 1
AND
60%
25%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |