Vilches vs CD Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDT
4 - 1
VIL
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAN
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
IDJ
4 - 3
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDA
74%
15%
12%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADL
1 - 1
VIL
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDH
0 - 1
CDV
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 1
CDT
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
CDV
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 2
IDJ
44%
24%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 4
CDV
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |