Vilches vs Atlético Mengibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADL
1 - 1
VIL
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAV
53%
20%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 2
VIL
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIL
61%
19%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Mengibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 4
CDV
32%
23%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 1
CDA
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 3
MAN
66%
17%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IDJ
5 - 3
CDA
50%
23%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDH
1 - 0
CDA
49%
22%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |