Vilafranquense vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 2
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIL
68%
20%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
CHA
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
MAF
1 - 0
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
SPC
25%
26%
48%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SRO
0 - 3
FAR
5%
11%
84%
|
61 | 21 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
BEN
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
ACV
2 - 2
FAR
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
FEI
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ESA
3 - 1
FAR
22%
29%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |