Vila Nova vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIL
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
CUI
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
OES
1 - 1
VIL
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 2
SPO
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 2
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
BOT
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
COT
1 - 1
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
OPE
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
AMF
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CRB
0 - 1
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |