Vila Nova vs Sport Recife analysis

Vila Nova Sport Recife
74 ELO 83
-26.9% Tilt -19.9%
430º General ELO ranking 168º
31º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
22.1%
Vila Nova
28.6%
Draw
49.3%
Sport Recife

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
Vila Nova
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
49.3%
Win probability
Sport Recife
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vila Nova
-10%
-4%
Sport Recife

Points and table prediction

Vila Nova
Their league position
Sport Recife
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
10º
63
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vitória
72
72
100%
EC Juventude
65
65
100%
Criciúma
64
64
100%
Atlético GO
64
64
100%
Sport Recife
63
63
0%
Novorizontino
63
63
0%
Mirassol
63
63
0%
Vila Nova
61
61
100%
Guaraní
10º
57
57
0%
CRB
57
57
10º
0%
Ceará
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Botafogo SP
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Avaí
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Ituano
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Ponte Preta
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Chapecoense
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Sampaio Correa
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Tombense
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Londrina
19º
31
31
19º
100%
ABC
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vila Nova
Vila Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2023
NOV
Novorizontino
3 - 1
Vila Nova
VIL
46%
28%
26%
74 75 1 0
22 Jul. 2023
VIL
Vila Nova
1 - 1
ABC
ABC
52%
29%
19%
74 64 10 0
20 Jul. 2023
CEA
Ceará
1 - 0
Vila Nova
VIL
72%
19%
10%
74 84 10 0
15 Jul. 2023
LON
Londrina
1 - 0
Vila Nova
VIL
31%
30%
39%
74 64 10 0
11 Jul. 2023
VIL
Vila Nova
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
43%
31%
26%
74 70 4 0

Matches

Sport Recife
Sport Recife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
SPO
Sport Recife
2 - 0
CRB
CRB
67%
20%
13%
83 74 9 0
23 Jul. 2023
SAM
Sampaio Correa
1 - 2
Sport Recife
SPO
24%
28%
48%
82 69 13 +1
20 Jul. 2023
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 2
Vitória
VIT
72%
19%
9%
83 71 12 -1
15 Jul. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO
3 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
51%
26%
23%
83 84 1 0
09 Jul. 2023
SPO
Sport Recife
0 - 0
Mirassol
MIR
73%
18%
9%
83 71 12 0
X