Copa Verde Eliminatorias Final
Global 0-10
Vila Nova vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
BRU
57%
26%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
PAY
6 - 0
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
VIL
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
NOV
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CUI
4 - 2
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAY
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
PAY
6 - 0
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
PAY
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
PAY
1 - 1
GOI
16%
26%
59%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 1
PAY
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |