Vila Nova vs Operário Ltda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.5%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 0
VIL
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRZ
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIL
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRI
41%
31%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Operário Ltda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 0
LTD
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LTD
0 - 0
POA
29%
28%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
LTD
1 - 0
IPO
29%
27%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
LTD
62%
24%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
LTD
1 - 2
CEI
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |