Vila Nova vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
ARN
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 1
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAM
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
VAS
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
BAH
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 2
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 2
BAH
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 1
BRA
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |