Vila Nova vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
27.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRB
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
VIL
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
GUA
37%
30%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 2
CRI
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
CHA
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
CAC
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
CRI
50%
27%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
CRI
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |