First Vienna vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VIE
0 - 0
DOR
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SKN
1 - 2
VIE
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
VIE
4 - 3
SVH
38%
23%
39%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 0
SVS
45%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 1
VIE
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
SCA
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 3
WAT
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SWB
0 - 0
SCA
11%
16%
73%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 0
SCA
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SCA
0 - 3
ALT
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |