Velo Clube vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
VEL
34%
26%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
TAU
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
VEL
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
VEL
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OES
1 - 0
NOV
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 1
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 1
NOV
13%
20%
66%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |