Varzim vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 2
UDL
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
BMA
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
VST
0 - 2
PAÇ
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 0
VST
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VST
0 - 2
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |