Varzim vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
SPC
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 0
VAR
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAS
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 2
LEX
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
MAF
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 1
RIO
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 1
TON
32%
25%
44%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAF
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |