Varesina vs Città di Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAC
65%
19%
17%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAR
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
PRO
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
CHI
8%
16%
76%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 1
VOG
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
ASD
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 0
ASD
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 2
ACL
17%
25%
58%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ADR
0 - 0
ASD
61%
20%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |