Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 0-3
CD Varea vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ARN
0 - 2
VAR
13%
18%
70%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
VAR
70%
17%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 0
ALF
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
UDL
2 - 1
VAR
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
ALB
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
BET
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
VAR
70%
17%
12%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 2
PEÑ
12%
19%
69%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
CHA
87%
10%
4%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 5
PEÑ
10%
18%
72%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | +2 |