CD Varea vs Anguiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
ALB
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UDL
3 - 0
VAR
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 0
OYO
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
COM
0 - 3
VAR
8%
16%
76%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 2
BER
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Anguiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALF
3 - 1
ANG
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ANG
6 - 2
CDF
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 1
ARN
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
ANG
11%
17%
72%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 1
UDL
39%
27%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |