Varbergs BoIS vs Mjällby AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
16º
16º
41
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 5
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 0
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
AIK
17%
25%
58%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
GÖT
1 - 2
VAR
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
DJU
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mjällby AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MJÄ
0 - 1
DJU
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 3
MJÄ
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MJÄ
1 - 2
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MFF
1 - 2
MJÄ
56%
24%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MJÄ
1 - 1
KAL
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |