Varbergs BoIS vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
16º
16º
44
2º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SIR
7 - 0
VAR
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
4 - 3
BRO
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AIK
3 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 1
VAR
4%
12%
84%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 3
IFK
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HIF
1 - 3
MFF
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HIF
4 - 2
AIK
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MJÄ
0 - 3
HIF
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
HUD
0 - 2
HIF
5%
14%
82%
|
80 | 40 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 0
HIF
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |