Valois Rivarola vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
85%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valois Rivarola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 2
VRS
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 61 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
VRS
1 - 3
RÑU
6%
13%
81%
|
11 | 60 | 49 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ATJ
1 - 2
VRS
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOT
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 3
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |