Valmiera FC vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
8º
4º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUD
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 4
VAL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
RIG
35%
25%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
FKT
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 1
SUP
25%
20%
55%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
5%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
LIE
7%
17%
77%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |