Valmiera FC vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
5º
3º
47
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 81 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 73 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 73 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
4º
|
63% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 47 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 42 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 25 |
10º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
14.5% | 75.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
83.5% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
VAL
25%
24%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 4
RIG
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
FSM
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
FKT
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |