Valmiera FC vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
5º
2º
16
7º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 78 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 73 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 71 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 56 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 47 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 41 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 37 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 26 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GDA
5 - 1
VAL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 1
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 0
GRO
44%
23%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 1
AUD
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
GRO
28%
24%
49%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
FAS
40%
22%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |