Valmiera FC vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
5º
3º
28
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
GRO
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GDA
5 - 1
VAL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 1
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 0
LIE
19%
24%
58%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
FKT
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |