Valmiera FC vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
8º
4º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
RIG
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DYN
1 - 1
VAL
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 0
VAL
10%
15%
75%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
5 - 0
FKA
91%
8%
2%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
MET
3 - 3
VAL
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
4 - 0
BAN
77%
15%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
KOL
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
DYN
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
AKS
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 2
KAS
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |