Valenzuela AD vs Calzada CDB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+157%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenzuela AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
VAL
18%
19%
63%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 3
CDP
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AMG
2 - 3
VAL
45%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
SCR
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PCN
2 - 1
VAL
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Calzada CDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 1
VLL
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VRB
6 - 2
CAL
49%
21%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAS
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
EST
20%
21%
59%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAM
5 - 0
CAL
54%
20%
26%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |