Valenciennes vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
AMI
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
VAL
9%
18%
74%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
VAL
54%
26%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
PFC
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 1
VAL
9%
18%
73%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
ANN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 2
PFC
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
PFC
2 - 2
QUE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
PFC
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PFC
3 - 1
SDF
86%
11%
3%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | +1 |