UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Valencia vs Shinnik Yaroslavl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1998 |
CDT
3 - 2
VCF
47%
24%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
VCF
2 - 2
SPO
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
DEP
1 - 2
VCF
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
COM
3 - 1
VCF
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
VCF
3 - 2
RSO
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1998 |
TOR
0 - 1
YAR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1998 |
YAR
3 - 2
TPS
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
TPS
0 - 2
YAR
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1998 |
CSK
0 - 1
YAR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1998 |
YAR
0 - 1
SPA
20%
24%
55%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |