Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-2
Valencia vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
VCF
4 - 0
CAD
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 0
VCF
16%
24%
61%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BET
2 - 1
VCF
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 0
VCF
64%
20%
16%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 1
SRQ
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 6
RMA
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 1
SEV
10%
19%
71%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 0
SEV
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 0
GET
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |