Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
RAC
2 - 1
VCF
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1997 |
VCF
0 - 3
FCB
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
MLL
2 - 1
VCF
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
ESP
3 - 2
VCF
38%
27%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
VCF
2 - 1
OVI
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1997 |
RMA
4 - 1
RBK
64%
20%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
RMA
2 - 0
RSO
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
SLA
0 - 2
RMA
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
65%
19%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
RMA
4 - 1
FCB
47%
23%
29%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |