Vado FC vs Derthona analysis

Vado FC Derthona
27 ELO 32
3% Tilt -20.4%
5288º General ELO ranking 9139º
146º Country ELO ranking 309º
ELO win probability
40.9%
Vado FC
24.4%
Draw
34.7%
Derthona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
Vado FC
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.7%
Win probability
Derthona
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vado FC
+6%
-12%
Derthona

Points and table prediction

Vado FC
Their league position
Derthona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
12º
41
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sestri Levante
91
94
100%
Sanremese
73
76
83.5%
AS Bra
71
74
83.5%
Vado FC
69
69
100%
Ligorna
64
64
100%
ASD Asti
56
59
44.5%
AC Legnano
57
58
25.5%
Gozzano
55
56
58%
Borgosesia
52
52
96.5%
Castellanzese
10º
46
47
10º
58.5%
Chieri
11º
46
46
11º
55.5%
Fezzanese
12º
45
45
12º
23%
PDHAE
13º
44
45
13º
40%
Derthona
15º
41
44
14º
48%
Pinerolo
14º
42
42
15º
60.5%
Chisola Calcio
16º
41
41
16º
85%
Castanese
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Stresa
18º
33
33
18º
100%
Casale
19º
23
23
19º
100%
Fossano Calcio
20º
13
13
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vado FC
Derthona
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 60.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 39.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vado FC
Derthona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vado FC
Vado FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2022
VFC
Vado FC
0 - 1
Ligorna
LIG
36%
26%
38%
27 35 8 0
15 May. 2022
VFC
Vado FC
2 - 2
Sestri Levante
SES
36%
25%
39%
27 35 8 0
08 May. 2022
SNR
NovaRomentin
2 - 0
Vado FC
VFC
46%
24%
30%
28 28 0 -1
01 May. 2022
VFC
Vado FC
2 - 1
AS Bra
ASD
34%
25%
41%
26 35 9 +2
27 Apr. 2022
ASD
Città di Varese
1 - 0
Vado FC
VFC
65%
20%
16%
27 35 8 -1

Matches

Derthona
Derthona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2022
FOS
Fossano Calcio
0 - 1
Derthona
DER
44%
26%
30%
31 29 2 0
15 May. 2022
NOV
Novara
3 - 1
Derthona
DER
82%
13%
5%
31 49 18 0
08 May. 2022
DER
Derthona
2 - 5
Sanremese
SAN
22%
25%
53%
33 41 8 -2
01 May. 2022
DER
Derthona
1 - 2
NovaRomentin
SNR
55%
22%
23%
34 27 7 -1
27 Apr. 2022
SES
Sestri Levante
1 - 1
Derthona
DER
51%
24%
25%
34 36 2 0
X