CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-1
AS Vita Club vs Ferroviário Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Vita Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DAU
0 - 3
VCL
42%
29%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VCL
1 - 0
MAF
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 6 | 65 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 3
VCL
3%
10%
87%
|
71 | 6 | 65 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
VCL
2 - 0
MKE
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
VCL
0 - 0
ASD
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
LIG
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
FER
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
FEN
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MAX
1 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
FER
3 - 0
QUE
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |