USAC vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
USA
2 - 0
GRE
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
USA
35%
27%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
USA
3 - 2
BAN
39%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
USA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
USA
0 - 2
BER
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
SER
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
SAO
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 1
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
VOT
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |