Sassuolo vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 1
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
0 - 2
LAZ
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
SAS
36%
24%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
0 - 1
ASS
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
INT
1 - 2
SAS
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 0
NUO
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 2
SPE
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 0
PIS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SPE
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 0
BRE
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |