Pro Vercelli vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
GER
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 0
PIA
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
LEO
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAG
18%
26%
56%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 2
LEO
54%
27%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
REG
2 - 2
BV5
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
USA
0 - 1
REG
49%
28%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
REG
2 - 1
ABN
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
2 - 0
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |