Grosseto vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
GRO
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
ORV
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SDT
0 - 1
GRO
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
USR
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PIA
1 - 3
GRO
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ORV
1 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
ACS
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ASF
2 - 1
LIV
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 1
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |