Cremonese vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
USC
0 - 0
GEN
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
USC
1 - 2
GER
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
USC
1 - 1
GOZ
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
USC
2 - 1
ACL
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
USC
18 - 0
USP
87%
9%
4%
|
77 | 7 | 70 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 2
LEC
85%
12%
4%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 2
USF
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
USF
1 - 0
CRO
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
3 - 1
SSC
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
0 - 2
CRO
7%
18%
76%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |