Avellino vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TER
2 - 1
AVE
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 1
LEO
47%
27%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
AVE
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
USF
1 - 0
SPE
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USF
2 - 0
FOL
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REG
0 - 2
USF
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
USF
0 - 1
TRI
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
USF
12%
20%
68%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |