Avellino vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
AVE
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
PES
1 - 1
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAL
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
USA
1 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 0
GEN
54%
29%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
GEN
3 - 2
REG
62%
25%
14%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 1
GEN
43%
32%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 2
GEN
61%
26%
13%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |