Alençon vs Le Havre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
14º
6º
40
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 0
ALE
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
5 - 0
MGA
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 0
STA
51%
22%
26%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AFV
0 - 0
ALE
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 0
DIE
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 1
GRQ
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 3
LEH
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 2
AGC
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEH
2 - 0
QUE
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MGA
0 - 4
LEH
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |