Uruguay U20 vs Mexico U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
URU
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
URU
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
URU
1 - 3
ECU
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
NZL
0 - 2
URU
14%
22%
65%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
USA
36%
23%
41%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
BRA
17%
22%
62%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |