Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 1-3
Universitario de Deportes vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
COR
1 - 0
UNI
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 4
UNI
13%
25%
62%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GLP
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
COR
3 - 2
AMF
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
COR
1 - 0
UNI
69%
20%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATM
0 - 1
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
AMF
1 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |