Universitario de Deportes vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 3
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LOS
1 - 0
UNI
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 3
MUN
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
CIE
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
CIE
0 - 0
CAN
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
SBO
1 - 4
CIE
34%
25%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
PIR
0 - 0
CIE
15%
16%
69%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |