Perú - Final Stages Eliminatorias Final
Global 3-1
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
HUA
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 1
UNI
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
UTC
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
SBO
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 1
ALI
21%
29%
50%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
ADT
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BIN
1 - 2
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
ALI
17%
27%
56%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |