Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-1
Universidad Católica vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
UCE
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
UCE
2 - 1
DEL
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BSC
1 - 2
UCE
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
UCE
6 - 0
FAM
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 1
UCE
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
COL
2 - 0
IQU
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
COL
2 - 3
UCO
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CSL
0 - 0
COL
14%
22%
65%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CUR
3 - 4
COL
17%
25%
58%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |