Universidad Católica vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 4
UCE
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
UCE
3 - 0
RIV
57%
23%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 0
UCE
33%
30%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UCE
1 - 0
DEL
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
UCE
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUC
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
NAC
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
MUS
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 2
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |