Univ. Concepción vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 1
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 4
HUA
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NUB
2 - 3
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
DLS
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
COL
1 - 1
CUR
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 0
COL
30%
25%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
COL
1 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
COL
5 - 2
CSL
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |