U. Católica vs Coquimbo Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 2
UCO
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
UCO
0 - 1
NUB
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 0
UCO
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 3
UCH
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
COQ
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
COQ
3 - 1
DCO
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NUB
0 - 0
COQ
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
COQ
1 - 0
UCH
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |