Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
RSC
1 - 2
UNI
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
QUI
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
RSC
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 2
CAR
23%
26%
52%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
TFC
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |