Union Fürstenwalde vs TUS Makkabi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
16º
16º
39
2º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
4 - 0
UNI
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SCS
4 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
MAH
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
TEN
2 - 0
UNI
72%
15%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
HER
30%
23%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
TUS Makkabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TUM
2 - 3
LIC
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TUM
0 - 0
ANK
75%
14%
10%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
TUM
2 - 5
ALT
12%
15%
73%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 1
TUM
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OPT
1 - 4
TUM
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |